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The Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) is a metric designed to estimate a player's chances of making the Pro Football Hall of Fame using AV, Pro Bowls, All-Pros, championships, and various stat milestones. I think his five-year peak with the Seahawks probably would have been enough to get him in, but earning a sixth Pro Bowl trip with the 49ers last season only helped his chances. Heres the top 10 in NFL and AFL history in receiving yardage through 85 games. Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). We still have to see what happens with the former LSU star, but of the 24 quarterbacks drafted with the first overall pick since the merger, five are either Hall of Famers or extremely likely to be enshrined. Ten of those 12 are in the Hall -- Elliott and Adrian Peterson are the other two. The suspension hurts Peterson's chances, but with eight Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances across his first eight seasons, his prior track record was impeccable. The only exceptions are a pair of interior offensive linemen (Alan Faneca and Steve Wisniewski) and safety John Lynch. White got his just due last season and was named a first-team All-Pro while tying for the league lead in interceptions (six). Given the ages of Gilmore and Patrick Peterson, Ramsey is neck-and-neck with White and Marshon Lattimore as the likely best cornerback in football over the next five years. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR Keenan Allen, G Trai Turner, DE Melvin Ingram III, CB Chris Harris Jr. Turner has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, but interior linemen typically need multiple first-team All-Pro nods to draw significant Hall interest. McCaffrey is still only 24 and has a relatively sterling health history, so it's on him to buck history. Lock (100%): LB Von Miller. Work to do (10% to 39%): TE Jimmy Graham, CB Kyle Fuller. The Cowboys are blessed with two linemen bound for Canton. Unlike Gurley, McCaffrey didn't win Offensive Player of the Year or make a deep playoff run. I think Rivers probably gets in, but it might take a while. On the latest episode of the Let's Go! Lock (100%): QB Ben Roethlisberger. Mahomes' rsum -- a league MVP and Super Bowl MVP -- is usually enough to get a player into the Hall of Fame, let alone doing it over two seasons as a starter. With Anthony Harris hoovering up interceptions and Jamal Adams and Minkah Fitzpatrick emerging, 31-year-old Smith probably needs to earn that nod in the next year or two. OBJ hasn't made a Pro Bowl since 2016, and while this could be a bounce-back year for the former Giants star, another middling campaign would push him into the "Work to do" tier. Grading the Jamal Adams trade Dan Orlovsky denounces the NFL Network's Top 100 players for 2020 for excluding Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. He also came up with an interception while winning his first Super Bowl, which helps his case. Mike Evans is on pace to be a Hall of Fame caliber wide receiver. Lock (100%): QB Drew Brees. He is a graduate of Southwest Texas State University and Bowie High School in Austin. Moving to a higher-profile, more successful team will help Ramsey's chances of drawing national attention, although he wasn't close to Stephon Gilmore or Tre'Davious White a year ago. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. Hekker's case is interesting. When I last attempted something like this column in June 2016, I gave Beckham a 50% chance of making the Hall of Fame after two dominant seasons as a pro. We're in a pass-happy era, but Thomas has more receptions (470) and receiving yards (5,512) than any other players in league history through their first four seasons. Watch our How-To Videos to Become a Stathead, Subscribe to Stathead and get access to more data than you can imagine. Allen will have a tougher time (presumably) without Yannick Ngakoue or Calais Campbell around in 2020, but he's off to a great start. Often, I'm making an educated guess as to what would get a player in by looking at which accomplishments and plaudits matter more to voters. Elroy "Crazylegs" Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Jets, Browns tapped for 2023 NFL Hall of Fame Game originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago. Hill's game still relies on speed, so he could be more susceptible to a career shortened by injuries than most other candidates, but if he gets three more seasons with Mahomes, he's probably in. Pouncey fits that magic 8+2 formula I mentioned earlier with regard to Atkins, and at 31, he should still have a couple more Pro Bowls in him. What happens next is critical for Gurley, who would have seemed on the road to Canton after taking home Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 and adding an Offensive Player of the Year award two years later. He has three first-team All-Pro nods and a Super Bowl MVP before turning 31. Over that five-year span, Landry ranks third in the NFL in catches and seventh in receiving yards. He probably needs two more All-Pro seasons to finalize his case. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Kyler Murray, S Budda Baker. All 259 picks | Every team's class We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. 19 Won't: Maurice Jones-Drew Newton has an MVP award, which goes a long way toward pushing any player into the Hall of Fame. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? . Larry Fitzgerald won't be suiting up for the Arizona Cardinals for the start of the season, but the future Hall of Fame wide receiver stopped just short Friday of announcing his retirement. Can Baker Mayfield's game be fixed? The Notre Dame product probably needs a second one to have a viable shot at Canton. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Lamar Jackson, CB Marcus Peters, K Justin Tucker. Find out more. You could also make the argument that Murray should be up a level after being taken with the No. In the running (40% to 69%): RB Christian McCaffrey. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Matthew Stafford, CB Jeff Okudah. Since 1950, 12 players have won two or more rushing titles. The 2010 No. Three different Cowboys defenders make this list, and you could make a case for Jaylon Smith, too. Elliott has already won two rushing titles across his first four seasons, and that might be enough on its own. Cooper has made four Pro Bowls in his first five seasons. The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. In both cases, I'm looking mostly at the historical output for first overall picks. Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. While he has made six Pro Bowls, that's not typically enough for interior linemen to make it into the Hall. Through Week 9 of the 2019 season, Evans has played 85 career games. Peterson, fifth all-time in rushing yards (14,918), is a good bet for election on the first ballot. DT | LB | CB | Safety Marcedes Lewis has been in the NFL for a long time. Stafford posted gaudy numbers earlier in his career when the Lions had him lead the league in attempts, but he has made it to one Pro Bowl and hasn't won a playoff game in 11 seasons. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. All rights reserved. One more Pro Bowl would probably do the trick. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Elliott should be a prohibitive favorite to get in. Green. As he turns 30 in September, Gilmore probably needs at least two more seasons in which he has a credible case as the best cornerback in football -- or a really long peak. A healthy, available Garrett is a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and could rise quickly. Will OBJ defy his long-shot odds to lead NFL in receiving yards? Collins retired with 70 touchdown receptions, sixth-best total in NFL history at the time and more than Hall of Fame receivers Lynn Swann, Art Monk, Bobby Mitchell, Michael Irvin and John Stallworth. And as much as everyone loves Boldin, he was never dominant enough to keep his former teammate out of Canton. The 49ers' two-decade-plus string of Pro Bowl quarterbacks and near-two-decade run of employing an all-time receiving talent abruptly stopped in 2004. Work to do (10% to 39%): QB Carson Wentz, TE Zach Ertz, CB Darius Slay. Buy Seahawks Tickets. Evans and Godwin might end up hurting each other's chances by preventing the other from getting a 185-target season like the one Michael Thomas enjoyed in 2019. Guy made only one Pro Bowl after turning 30, and Hekker probably needs a couple more All-Pro appearances to earn serious consideration. These three Pats legends are more likely to land in the Hall of Very Good. Pro Football Hall of Fame Hall of Fame Village. Round 1: Kiper | McShay | NFL Nation Kiper's draft grades for every team Hall of Fame Wide Receivers. I haven't included players who I believe have no more than a 10% chance of making it into the Hall. I'd like to see a bigger sample before I treat that rate as gospel, and players such as DeAngelo Hall and Everson Walls had long careers without making it to the Hall, but Lattimore is off to a promising start. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Exclusive: Abbott explains push against diversity hiring programs, Texas wants to ban delta-8, but veterans are pushing back, UH, Texas A&M removing DEI statements from hiring practices, The Breakfast Klub sues prominent City Hall consultant for fraud, Astros GM Dana Brown the antithesis of his predecessors, Houston is the most stressful city to work in, says new study, Lauren Daigle at Houston Rodeo: 'God always has your number', Galveston gets fourth Carnival Cruise Line, was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist, Houston-area boys basketball playoffs: Regional final scores, Texas Southern falls to rival Prairie View A&M in season finale, Washington advances to state basketball tournament, UT ends regular season on high note with win over Kansas, UH's basketball rivalry with Memphis could end as soon as Sunday. Lock (100%): QB Aaron Rodgers. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. Top-10 picks who make it to the Pro Bowl as rookies have a great track record. He figures to have a strong case for first-ballot election. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? If Evans goes his entire career without gaining widespread notoriety or making a memorable run in the playoffs even if he has a long and steadily productive career and is regarded as one of the top receivers of his generation his chances to make the Hall of Fame will be materially diminished. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Mark Ingram, OT Ronnie Stanley, DE Calais Campbell. Guy earned six Pro Bowl nominations and three All-Pro picks before turning 30. Lock (100%): TE Jason Witten. . 4 overall pick will start his career at left tackle after Nate Solder opted out of this season. Peters might look better in the long term than he does now. Julio Jones (2011-17): 8,076, two-time All-Pro, will be a Hall-of-Famer Jerry Rice (1985-89): 7,370, Hall-of-Famer, greatest receiver of all time Randy Moss (1998-2003): 7,258, Hall-of-Famer Torry Holt (1999-2004): 7,147, most yards through five years in NFL history

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