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Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . Things have frantically fallen into place since the new labor deal came together on March 10, with every team trying to jam most of its winter moves into just a few weeks. The model isn't as bullish on San Diego as others due to concerns over Tatis' ability to play a full season and the depth in the lineup, but it's easy to see this being the magical year for which many have been waiting. I don't think they are bottom-feeder level (Orioles, Pirates, Diamondbacks), though. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. The defense is terrible. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. You can do it! If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. All Rights Reserved. One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. Way Too Early MLB 2022 National League Standings Predictions. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. Three key contributors in the lineup Brandon Crawford, Brandon Belt, Mike Yastrzemski are 30 or older, and while they aren't getting younger, their bats certainly did not appear any slower in 2021. April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 Now, did that stop us from asking a number of MLB . Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. 5 min read. If it's the 2022-23 Premier League table you're after, you've come to the right place. by Handedness. A complete list of this year's voters: . March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . We're using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This is not expected to be the year that the Oriolesmake a surprising surge to the playoffs and shock the baseball world, but it feels like that time is at least getting closer. 3 - New York Mets. . Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. But it's easy to see them beat those projections. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. They've got a good young rotation led by Sandy Alcantara and are going to causeheadaches for the division's presumed contenders Juan Soto Extension Watch is going to be 2022's dominant storyline for the Nationals, who did sign 41-year-old DH Nelson Cruz. Alek Thomas should make his debut at some point in 2022 to join fellow young bats like Ketel Marte, Daulton Varsho and Carson Kelly. Toronto has the best odds of winning the pennant at 16.9 percent, while the White Sox and Astros trail narrowly behind at 15.2 and 13.9 percent, respectively. Milwaukee finished with a DEF of 56, which was eight more runs than the next best team. The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. The Fernando Tats Jr. injury creates a bigger separation from the Dodgers in the projected MLB standings, but hell be back by July. With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. FanGraphs Membership. While the signing of Carlos Correa and the trade for Sonny Gray will help, the rest of the team has a lot of question marks, particularly after Berrios was traded midseason last year and Donaldson was traded in the offseason. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. Edwin Diaz was a dominant closer in 2021, and figures again to be among the best relievers in 2022. The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB. The biggest thing we like about the Rays is their wealth of pitching, a crucial factor in a season where arms will be tested more than ever. TheBrewers Way? We do like the Sean Manaea addition, it solidifies one of the best rotations in baseball. Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. With the money saved by choosing Olson over Freddie Freeman, Atlanta signed Kenley Jansen and Collin McHugh. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. Considering the randomness involved, predicting the yearly MLB saves leader might be as difficult as any stat in baseball. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . The Post's Joel Sherman predicts the AL Central: 1. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. Toronto hasnt won a playoff game since 2016. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. The Major League Baseball awards are being finalized and various teams and players are being recognized for their performances this past season. October 6th, 2022. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. Justin Verlander is back and were expecting healthy seasons out of Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman. However, this is still a loaded team. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. 2023 Projected Standings. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. You famously cannot predict baseball. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . They still have Juan Soto, who continues to receive Ted Williams' comparisons, but the rest of the team is a bit unknown. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. Bellinger is coming off of a dreadful 2021 campaign that saw . Replacing set-up man Craig Kimbrel with outfielder A.J. The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Baseball-Reference.com. USA TODAY. Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. Here's what experts think. 400. The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year? I'm counting on a huge year from Matt Chapman (as outlined in the preview) while the rotation has a full year of Jos Berros, a full year of Alek Manoah and newly-signed Kevin Gausman coming. MLB Spring Training Standings 2023. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, well provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. Brendan Rodgers and Ryan McMahon showed they can make a promising tandem fans of the franchise can build around. Major League Leaders . See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. The moves bythe Marlinsmight not have been as splashy as the Mets or Phillies, but don't sleep on the additions they made this offseason. We're on to the American League West in our 2022 MLB standings predictions. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. 11m ago. Everyone should. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. EX. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. Max Scherzer and Justin . However, pitching is a major concern. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. "Ok . After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. TEX Texas Rangers. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. The model narrowly projects there to be three teams in the NL East reach the playoffs, with the Mets and Phillies earning wild cards to join the division-winning Padres. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. I don't know why, though. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. After signing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Jon Gray for a combined $556 million in 2021, the Rangers inked Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi and Martn Prez and traded for Jake Odorizzi this offseason. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? Julio Rodriguez, who earned a spot on the MLB roster, can win Rookie of the year and make a significant 2022 impact. However, the Yankees lineup could be without 60% of its production whenever it plays in Toronto. And I'll mention again that the Blue Jays were a wrecking crew in Rogers Centre after they went 22-22 in "home" games in Buffalo and Dunedin last year. by Retrosheet. The bullpen is, well, the Phillies bullpen. From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. Major League Baseball's 2022 season has arrived. But what the model really likes is the rotation. The model has them in third in the AL East, but it would surprise no one to see them win the division. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. The Tigers also signed a pair of top free agents in Javier Baez and Eduardo Rodriguez to provide some more established threats to the team. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. The Blue Jays have constructed one of the most talented rosters in the AL, combining impressive young players such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Alejandro Kirk and Alek Manoah with veteran stars such as George Springer, Kevin Gausman and Matt Chapman, but the club has yet to break through as an AL powerhouse. Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. 3. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. With Sean Manaea also gone, its even easier to predict fewer wins. Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. March 1st, 2023. There is potential in this team to over-perform its projections. With the signing of Max Scherzer and the acquisition of Bassitt, the Mets' 1-2-3 punch, when healthy, is now deGrom, Scherzer and Bassitt, and that's before getting to Taijuan Walker and Carlos Carrasco.

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